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Chronicle of the Conspiracy Saturday, March 08, 2008 RESISTANCE IS FUTILE The public school system, and the teachers unions, will assimilate you.A California appeals court ruling clamping down on homeschooling by parents without teaching credentials sent shock waves across the state this week, leaving an estimated 166,000 children as possible truants and their parents at risk of prosecution.Emphasis added. Thanks to Corey Snow for the link. Update... Reader Dave Duval replies: Since when in the past 20 years (or more?...especially in the Granola State) have the teachers unions taught "good citizenship, patriotism and loyalty to the state and the nation?" Those are 3 areas where home schoolers would beat credentialed teachers every time. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 4:24 PM |
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WHO SAYS THE US DOLLAR IS WORTHELESS? Our monetary affairs correspondent "Irrational Exuberance" reports that the MacroMan blog has discovered all kinds of uses for it. I particularly like number 4. 1) Wallpaper for low-income homes. Why spend good money on paint or wallpaper, when you can just slap a recurring portrait of America's first president on the wall? It's both cheap and patriotic! Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 4:20 PM |
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THIS MAKES THE FED LOOK DOWNRIGHT EFFICIENT From The Economist: ...the Belgian central bank still employs more than 2,000 people, even though it has not had a currency to oversee since 1999, when Belgium joined the euro.Thanks to Adrian Nicolici for the link. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 4:17 PM |
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WHERE DO I GET ONE OF THOSE T-SHIRTS?
I see a lot of people yelling for peace but I have not heard of a plan for peace. So, here's one plan.Update... Reader Richard Ridgeway writes, The Williams speech is false. It's circulated around here for years. It figures D.C. is just now getting it; a 5-year disconnect to the rest of America seems about par. And when they do get information it's not right to begin with... Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 4:05 PM |
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Friday, March 07, 2008 IT'S WORTH IT -- BECAUSE WE DESERVE THE VERY BEST Putting the hubbub about "excessive" executive pay in context. From The American:As [Xavier] Gabaix and [Augustin] Landier write in a new Quarterly Journal of Economics article, the sixfold increase in American CEO pay from 1980 to 2003 is almost wholly explained by the roughly sixfold increase in market capitalization of big U.S. companies over the same period. (Asset values have increased sixfold because both corporate earnings and the price-to-earnings ratio investors are willing to tolerate have increased by factors of 2.5.) The trend lines of market capitalization and executive payouts rose and dipped in near-perfect tandem.Thanks to Mike Daley for the link. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 1:36 AM |
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Thursday, March 06, 2008 DON'T PANIC! I'm quoted by US News and World Report:Should I sell my stocks? If, like most Americans, you're a long-term investor, the answer is no. Equity returns over five-, 10-, or 20-year spans outperform most other investments. Donald Luskin of Trend Macrolytics notes that average annual returns in the S&P 500 have been almost identical during both expansions and recessions. Plus, bailing out after the market has already dropped this far means you're likely to take bigger losses. In short, don't panic. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 2:29 PM |
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KUDLOW REPLAY Here's the YouTube video of yesterday's appearance. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 10:56 AM |
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Wednesday, March 05, 2008 IRONY IS HYPOCRISY WITH STYLE Except that this isn't even particularly stylish. From the New York Sun:It's not every day that one finds a tax policy argument in the world-famous gossip column of the New York Post, but there it was yesterday in "Page Six": The news was that the publisher of the New York Times, Arthur Sulzberger Jr., had sold his Upper West Side apartment to his wife for $3.25 million for what a Times spokeswoman described as "estate-planning purposes." The editors of Page Six have their wits about them; they noted the irony that the Times, as they put it, "is always for higher taxes." Sure enough, the Times editorialized on April 15, 2005, that "The only thing driving the push for repealing the estate tax is ideology. It sure isn't sound tax policy." We look forward to reading an editorial in the Times about what's "sound" in a tax law that drives a man to sell the apartment he lives in to his wife just to minimize taxes. Its editorial from 2005 went on, "most Americans never even have to think about the estate tax." Looks like the owner of the newspaper that issued the editorial is one American who did have to think about it — and took some action to minimize the amount he had to pay. We wish Mr. Sulzberger the best of luck in minimizing his family's death-tax liability. Maybe the exercise will force a reassessment.Thanks to Jameson Campaigne for the link. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:25 PM |
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I LOVE STRANGE STUFF LIKE THIS From Mark Spahn: Wouldn't it be nice if they had a haiku festival in a town that is "haiku" spelled backwards? They do!Update [3/6/08]... Rick Gaber adds, How about a fig newton fextival in Newton, Massachusetts? Maybe Volkswagen could even sponsor a fig newton throwing contest to see who could throw one the farthest. They might even call it "the farfignewton". Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 11:24 AM |
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DELONG GETS IT, FOX DOESN'T A couple of observations from our correspondent "Irrational Exuberance." First, on Brad Delong's apparent agreement with us that inflation-sensitive market prices are sending signals that deserve to be heeded: The ventripotent Marxist isn't completely dismissive of market prices!And second, on the depth and courage of the new Fox Business Network's coverage of the economy:...this piece reads as if there is no fundamental reason for the Dollar to be falling; instead, we are witnessing a bubble in all other currencies. Yet if I pull any international finance book off my shelf, I am pretty sure I can find some reference that the "fundamental" value of a currency has something to do with interest rate differentials. Not to mention the yawning current account deficit. I hope the Fed is correct, and I will be the first to admit error, but for now I am not willing to dismiss the signals commodity prices, or the Dollar, are sending. Perhaps why FBN has only 6,000 viewers?The housing market isn't bad everywhere, commentators agreed one morning. "On the plane, I sat next to this woman whose boyfriend is in real estate in Kansas City," one analyst, a regular on FBN's morning show, offered, "and he's doing really well!" A few days later, another "expert" countered a discouraging retail-sales number with this observation: "Anecdotally, I go to the store and people are still buying stuff." Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 11:10 AM |
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CLINTON'S BACK IN THE RACE And a good thing it is, as now the Democratic rivals will bash each other silly while John McCain looks on with an ironic smile on his face. My DC-insider friend "Mick Danger" admits he underestimated Hillary on this one. Well, I called it wrong. I thought Obama was rising. I thought Hillary had fallen and couldn't get up. I was wrong, too, about her debate performances in Texas and Ohio. Only now do I sense her subliminal communications to the millions of victims out there -- the ones who don't get the breaks, the ones the bosses give the tougher questions, the ones no one seems to like.Update... Mick adds, Of course, I did speculate that Hillary was (and is) angling for something from Obama, perhaps VP. Now, this report says her hints are surfacing. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:14 AM |
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