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Chronicle of the Conspiracy Saturday, March 17, 2007 MANKIW VERY MUCH Here's an hilarious YouTube video of economist Yoram Bauman explaining what Greg Mankiw really meant in his ten basic principles of economics. Thanks to reader Mike Daley for this and many other good humor links.Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 3:09 PM | link
LIBERTY AT THE EDGE OF ANARCHY "Oh yeah? Well, without government regulation, how could there be a highway system? Don't we at least need traffic lights?" Apparently not. Amazing that something this hynotically balletic would, in fact, probably be incredibly stressful. Thanks to Cafe Hayek for the link (they have more in a similar vein). Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 1:47 PM | link
THE MYSTERIOUS EAST DAILY DOUBLE Here's how to settle a hold-out problem:
Developers have turned a house into an island in China after the owner refused to move out. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 10:53 AM | link
THE MYSTERIOUS EAST The real estate bubble meets the China bubble: A Chinese appeals court has upheld a ban on a company from selling land on the moon, ruling that "celestial bodies" could not be anyone's property, state media said. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 10:48 AM | link
Friday, March 16, 2007 HAS HE TRIED A SOFTENER? An important policy statement from William Poole, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis:Expanded Mission Means a Sturdier Stool Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:53 AM | link
Thursday, March 15, 2007 THE CLUB FOR NO-GROWTH It's a new political influence organization on the left, and according to the Washington Post, it's modeled itself on the Club For Growth -- it intends to hold Democrats responsible for upholding liberal principles such as protectionism, the same way the Club holds Republicans responsible for conservative ideals such as free trade.They The group, which includes a political action committee called Working For Us and a nonprofit entity named They Work For Us, carries the backing of people like Steve Rosenthal, a past political director at the AFL-CIO, Tom Matzzie, the Washington director of Moveon.org and -- most intriguingly -- blogger icon Markos Moulitsas Zuniga, founder of the influential Daily Kos Web site.Here's what my DC lawyer/lobbyist friend knows who the new organization's first targets are going to be: Democratic senator Max Baucus and congressman Charlie Rangel are the twin gatekeepers of free trade, one of the most important policies enabling individuals and companies to build such a prosperous economy. Some of their fellow Democrats want to cajole and intimidate Baucus, especially on trade issues.Check it out on the Working For Us website ...Max Baucus, as Chair of the Senate Finance Committee, will play a key role in the legislation to re-authorize fast-track before it expires in June. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 11:18 PM | link
WHERE'S GRETCHEN MORGENSON WHEN WE NEED HER? The New York Times' true crime reporter on the business beat somehow managed to overlook this story, which would seem to fall so neatly into her usual narrative about how corporate management enriches itself with incentives that kick in even when the company performs poorly. Even steep losses at The New York Times didn't stop its family owners from enriching themselves and insiders with bonuses for making "profits" when there were none. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:57 PM | link
THE WORST-CASE TAX SCENARIO Dan Clifton at the American Shareholders Association has the darkest possible view for the future of US tax burdens. He says that under the budget now being put together by the Democrat-controlled congress, the 2003 tax cuts will be procedurally impossible to extend beyond their scheduled expiration after 2010. Here are three must-read docs from Dan: Line by Line Item of Tax Increases Facing Expiration and their Cost (income, cap gains, dividends, estate, AMT, small business expensing, etc). Taxes will be raised $545 billion through 2012 and $2.1 trillion by 2017. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 10:47 AM | link
Wednesday, March 14, 2007 JOKE OF THE DAYPosted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:49 AM | link
IT'S ALL POLITICS, THEN AND NOW Here's a long-forgotten episode from the early days of the Clinton administration -- courtesy of a March 26, 1993 New York Times story [no link available]: Any hope that the Clinton Administration would operate a Justice Department free of political taint -- or even the appearance of political taint -- grew dim yesterday when the White House confirmed that it would dismiss the U.S. Attorney investigating one of its chief Congressional allies.The Wall Street Journal edit page this morning has the same story, but isn't it delicious to read it covered in the New York Times, now so eager to see a Clinton returned to the White House? Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 8:20 AM | link
Tuesday, March 13, 2007 CONSERVATIVES FOR PROTECTIONISM! I've decided to support senators Byron Dorgan's and Hillary Clinton's proposed legislation under which "the White House would be required to take immediate action to reduce the trade deficit if the trade deficit exceeds 5% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP)." It's a great idea. The "immediate action" the White House should take would be to cut taxes. What better way to stimulate export growth? Look what happened after the 2003 Bush tax cuts -- export growth has surged, and never stopped surging, growing way faster than GDP month in and month out. Let's go for it! Pass that bill! Right on!
Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 11:57 PM | link
WHAT A STRANGE THING TO SAY... ...of the late Betty Hutton: It's like her obstetrician was Bob Clampett:The unpredictable Irwin Chusid strikes again. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 10:42 PM | link
BE AFRAID (YOU KNOW THE REST) Here's a scary graph -- it's a sneak preview from the Heritage Foundation's latest Federal Budget Chartbook, thanks to Heritage's blogger Robert Bluey. It shows the future track of federal tax receipts as a fraction of GDP, and it's up, up and away even if the 2003 tax cuts are extended past 2010. Why? The Alternative Minimum Tax and "real bracket creep" -- people moving into higher tax brackets as productivity growth makes everyone wealthier -- are the culprits. To prevent this, we have to think about cutting taxes. But right now the Dems in control just talk about hiking taxes.
Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 5:57 PM | link
KRUGMAN'S PROTECTIVE PAYWALL IS LOWERED The New York Times set up "TimesSelect" -- under which you have to pay $50 a year to read their columnists -- in part to protect their columnists from the constant bashing they were getting on the blogs. Now the Times announces it will make the columnists free for college students. Perfect -- if there were ever a population unlikely to criticize the Times columnists, that would be it. I assume there is some filter for detecting and rejecting members of the Young Republicans. Thanks to my DC lawyer/lobbyist friend for the link. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 2:14 PM | link
OUTTA HERE? Intrade has listed futures contracts on whether attorney general Alberto Gonzales will resign. It's not looking good... Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 1:35 PM | link
INCONVENIENT CRITICS How did this ever get by the thought police at the New York Times? It's bufferred with the usual fulsome praise for Al Gore, but the burden of this story is that climate scientists are pretty unhappy with the hype in his film "An Inconvenient Truth." “I don’t want to pick on Al Gore,” Don J. Easterbrook, an emeritus professor of geology at Western Washington University, told hundreds of experts at the annual meeting of the Geological Society of America. “But there are a lot of inaccuracies in the statements we are seeing, and we have to temper that with real data.” Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 8:59 AM | link
IT'S JUST NOT FAIR Our friend Dan Clifton lets us know that the IRS's latest Statistics of Income bulletin is out, covering 2004 returns, and that it reveals how terribly inequitable the federal tax structure really is. The "tax burden" is profoundly "maldistributed"! It's not fair! For example: Adjusted gross income (AGI) increased by 8.9 percent from the previous year to $7.4 trillion for 2005 and taxable income increased 9.5 percent to $5.1 trillion.It's not fair! We've been in a recession ever since George Bush took office! How dare income increase 9.5% in a single year! Or: ...the top 1 percent of taxpayers...accounted for 36.9 percent of the total income tax reported, an increase from 34.3 percent in 2003.It's not fair! The Bush tax cuts in 2003 were supposed to be a giveaway for the rich! And now they're paying a larger share of taxes than they were before! It's not fair! I'm calling my union rep!! Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 8:34 AM | link
Monday, March 12, 2007 TRADE DEFICITS BY THE NUMBERS It's all so simple if you just look at the numbers (instead of the union-driven politics). A new paper by Dan Griswold:An almost universal consensus prevails that the record U.S. trade deficit for 2006 was a drag on U.S. economic growth. The consensus reflects a basic assumption that growing imports to the United States displace domestic production, reducing growth of real gross domestic product. But the consensus on trade deficits and growth ignores the actual record of the U.S. economy in recent decades and the positive correlation of imports to domestic production. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 11:56 AM | link
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