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Chronicle of the Conspiracy Saturday, February 24, 2007 JOKE OF THE DAYPosted by Donald L. Luskin at 11:51 PM | link
THE MYSTERIOUS EAST The formerly centrally planned Chinese economy is now operating on the free-market principles exemplified by the United States. From the People's Daily: Enterprises engaged in ethnic minority trade, at the county-level or above, were given tax rebates worth 1.2 billion yuan (157.9 million U.S. dollars) during China's 10th "Five-Year" Plan period (2001-2005)... Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:30 AM | link
Friday, February 23, 2007 KRUGMAN SALUTES NOAM CHOMSKY Not explicitly, of course, but Leftist crazies will pick up on this tip of the hat to the craziest Leftist crazy of them all. The headline of Paul Krugman's column today is "Colorless Green Ideas" (and it concerns the various steps the state of California has taken to combat global warming). Wikipedia:"Colorless green ideas sleep furiously" is a sentence composed by Noam Chomsky in 1957 as an example of a sentence whose grammar is correct but whose meaning is nonsensical. It was used to show inadequacy of the then-popular probabilistic models of grammar, and the need for more structured models.Thanks to The Frontal Cortex for noticing. Update... Several readers have commented. Victor Colvin: You know most of those colorless ideas are more of the incremental, and largely irreversible, steps toward socialism. In a decade or two we’ll be scratching our heads trying to figure out what happened and praying for economic growth of 1%.Andrew Terhune: I don't know how you resisted taking on PK on the content of the piece. He's essentially saying, that Californians manage to use 1/3 less energy than the rest of the country and that is was no big deal to do so - unless you count paying 50% more for electricity than the rest of us. Try raising the price of electricity by 50% anywhere in the country and they'll be howling for his head! But hey, the poor don't mind paying more to soothe Mr. K's conscience.Eileen Findlay: Stopped into our local Charity Shop to see what “finds” or “object d’arts” were on sale….nothing of any consequence, except a copy of Paul Krugman’s book, The Great Unravelling! Priced at $1.50, hardcover…..it was about 900% cheaper in the Charity Shop than the search I did for its price on Amazon, Books-a-Million and other book websites. Naturally I didn’t buy it...the title itself is redundant. The economy has certainly not unravelled under Bush the Younger! Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:40 PM | link
CLINTON LIES Larry Kudlow blogs that David Geffen's remarks about the Clintons lying "with such facility" hits home. Here's Larry's catalog of Clinton lies. If these were Bush lies, Larry would be invited to be a columnist for the New York Times. - Clinton lied under oath to a Federal Grand Jury. (Of course, that’s perjury. Perjury remains a felony.) Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:34 PM | link
Thursday, February 22, 2007 RUINING ONE REPUTATION TO REHABILITATE ANOTHER I have just sent this letter to the Wall Street Journal:In "Scooter Libby and Reputation," columnist Daniel Henninger properly holds Rudolph Giuliani to account for his overzealous prosecution of Wall Street figures in the 1980s, and the irreparable damage done to the reputations of these innocent businessmen. Ironically, in the process of discussing the case of Salim "Sandy" Lewis, one of Mr. Giuliani's victims, Henninger inadvertently underscores his own point when says that Mr. Lewis' "accuser was Boyd Jeffries, the criminal acolyte of famed financial criminal Ivan Boesky." I knew Mr. Jefferies intimately at that time, and I know that he was no "criminal acolyte." He was coerced by Mr. Giuliani by the threat of criminal prosecution for minor technical violations of securities regulations that had never been treated as criminal matters before. He felt he had no choice but to plead guilty to various minor technical infractions, and to help Mr. Giuliani build his case against others, such as Mr. Lewis, who were themselves guilty of similar minor technical infractions. Mr. Jefferies could have fought Mr. Giuliani as others did, but as Mr. Henninger points out, his reputation would have been destroyed, win or lose. It saddens me that Mr. Henninger, in his attempt to rehabilitate the destroyed reputations of some innocent businessmen has further sullied the reputation of Mr. Jefferies. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:44 PM | link
FAIR AND BALANCED Even the New York Times has had to acknowledge the inconvenient truth that its beloved Democratic candidates for president, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, are already viciously tearing each other to pieces. To give some "balance" and "fairness," though, this story by Patrick Healy and Jim Rutenberg mentions that Republicans are having their share of internal strife, too. On the Republican side, Vice President Dick Cheney struck back at criticism leveled against him and former Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld by Senator John McCain of Arizona, underscoring the often tense relationship between the White House and Mr. McCain.Uh... one big difference: these Republicans are not competing candidates for anything. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:36 PM | link
THERE ARE TWO AMERICAS ...the America that works for the government, and the America that doesn't. From USA Today: A typical full-time state or local government worker made $78,853 in wages and benefits in the third quarter of 2006, $25,771 more than a typical private-sector worker, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports. The difference was $7,604 in 2000. The compensation advantage holds true for all types of public workers, from teachers to laborers and managers.Gee... I guess "income inequality" really is increasing, after all. Thanks to reader Ben Cunningham for the link. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 10:30 AM | link
THE DEMS' AMT HYPOCRISY The Democratic congress says it wants to fix the Alternative Minimum Tax, a system of higher rates that is ensnaring more and more middle-income Americans. The Dems should start by admitting that the AMT problem is the result of Clinton's 1993 tax hikes. Here's our friend Dan Clifton of the Americans Shareholders Association: Democrats have effectively seized on this outrage as more than 30 million Americans will be forced into the AMT by 2010. Yet, late last week I got my hands on data by the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) from April 2006 which ran eight different scenarios for cutting the AMT. Disaggregating the data demonstrates the AMT "problem" is a result of the 1993 Clinton tax increase, which all the politicians complaining about the AMT today actually voted for and essentially created this problem. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:42 AM | link
FRESH SAME OLD How come Barack Obama's tired Leftist bromides are seen as refreshing new ideas? Thomas Sowell: Senator Obama is being hailed as the newest and freshest face on the American political scene. But he is advocating some of the oldest fallacies, just as if it was the 1960s again, or as if he has learned nothing and forgotten nothing since then.Our DC lawyer/lobbyist friend comments, That's this year's fresh-faced candidate trying to win over the old nag vote. The 2008 election will decide whether we voters understand that we are in the best economy ever (on Earth?) and that we should vote to extend it. That means Giuliani, Romney or McCain, all of whom have pledged to keep taxes low, preserve free trade and control spending, presuming each of them can be trusted and are able to do so. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:38 AM | link
AARP IS BACK, MESSING UP THE SOCIAL SECURITY DEBATE AGAIN Oh, yes, AARP is such a friend of Social Security reform. The self-serving organization that did more than any other in 2005 to poison sentiment on reform is now says "they will push hard to revamp Social Security to maintain the social insurance program’s solvency and fiscal health." But here's how they'll do it -- with a bogus push-poll designed to take the idea of personal invesment accounts off the table. How do you like this? Every potential reform other than personal accounts is presented as something that could help. Personal accounts get "pro" and "con" arguments, both salted with negative editorial commentary. The "con" version says: "I do not think that is a good idea if it will cost the federal government nearly $1 trillion (depending on the plan) for the first ten years and more after that..." The "pro" version says "Even though it could cost the federal government nearly $1 trillion dollars for the first 10 years and even more than that to set up..." The truth is that personal accounts wouldn't cost anybody anything beyond the commitments the existing system has already made -- they just make today's costs explicit, rather than allowing them to remain hidden in Enron-type off-balance sheet accounting. And when it comes to "add-on" accounts, there is no mention at all that "add-on" accounts and "auto-IRA" accounts, unlike the proposed personal accounts, would be a totally additional out-of-pocket outlay from workers, and would do nothing to pre-fund current Social Security obligations or to reduce cost burdens on future generations. Every word is calculated to favor tax increases, and disfavor the realistic reining in of programmed benefit growth. Look at question R10: "Do you preter 'benefit cuts' or 'revenue enhancements'?" No mention that only a deceleration of benefit growth is required to stabilize the systen, not outright cuts. Meanwhile, tax increases masquerade as "revenue enhancements." I'm sure glad that when I get old and feeble-minded this classy organization will be looking out for me -- and figuring out how to screw all the young people in America for my benefit, with whatever lies it takes. Update... Reader Neal Phenes has a comment on push-polling, I asked my kids whether they preferred a reduction of their allowance or an increase. I failed to explain that the reduced allowance would make my financial position a lot better. They aren't doddering by any means and they chose an increased allowance. Fancy that! Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 1:02 AM | link
THE MYSTERIOUS EAST No wonder Ben Bernanke is worried about inflation. Viscose filament prices started more rapidly increasing in the past weeks in China with a general rise of 1,000 yuan per ton (20 cents per kilo).Told ya so. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:59 AM | link
Wednesday, February 21, 2007 THERE ARE NO COINCIDENCES From Bloomberg this morning:U.S. consumer prices rose more than forecast in January...From the Wall Street Journal this morning: As pressure grows for the government to pick up more of the nation's health-care tab, new data show its contribution is already at 45% and is expected to approach 50% within 10 years.Thanks to reader David Duval for the link. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:37 PM | link
YES, BUT IS IT ART? I thought Irwin Chusid was only leading a double life -- as both the artblogging chronicler of the great 1940s/1950s artist Jim Flora, and as our "public editor." But it turns out Irwin's is a triple life. He is also a champion of "outsider music," that is, music produced by people outside the mainstream of the art and business of music. He recently gave me a copy of a CD he produced, "Innocence and Despair: The Langley Schools Music Project," the resurrection of recordings from the 1970s of music performed by rural Canadian schoolchildren under the tutelage of itinerant teacher Hans Fenger. The 19 tracks, covers of various pop classics and non-classics by the Beach Boys, David Bowie and others, are surprisingly engaging despite, or perhaps because of, these unpolished and underproduced renderings -- which, while crude, are at the same time actually quite sophisticated. And the CD is aptly titled. The performances burst with the innocent exuberance of the children who sing them and the enthusiasm of the teacher who directs them -- but they are also infused with a haunting melancholy, perhaps an artifact of the echoic environment in which they are recorded, or perhaps reflecting the isolation of the children's rural locale and the sense that, tragically, this music will be the creative high-point of their lives. It was an interesting exercise in art and cognition to listen to this CD. I couldn't help wonder, as I listened for the first time, whether I would be as engaged if I hadn't been prepped by Irwin to expect something special. What if I'd happened on this music with no context whatsoever -- would I have dismissed it instantly as just a bunch of schoolchildren doing a bunch of pop songs? Or how would I have judged it if my own child were one of the singers? Would that have made me take it more or less seriously as art? I do think there is something special here -- some unique art in the performances and the arrangements. And I don't think it's just my suggestibility. Irwin has played here a legitimate role of the art critic, to highlight for an audience the artistic virtues of something that otherwise might have gone unnoticed. Art does not need to stand on its own, without someone to evangelize for it, in order for it to be art. The innocent quality of this music performed by children begs other questions. Irwin drew my attention to one particular number, the Eagles' song "Desparado" performed as a solo by a girl who sounds like she's about ten years old. The very fact that the girl probably doesn't understand the meaning of many of the lyrics she's singing gives the performance a mood of loss and tragedy. Yet as I listened, I couldn't help second-guessing my perception of the performance because I knew that its haunting quality was the arbitrary artifact of the singer's age, not the deliberate quality of her art. I kept asking myself how I would react differently if I knew the singer was an adult, who was mimicking for effect the naïve quality of a child's performance. I think I would have liked it more. Isn't using a child to achieve these effects rather like having a 15-foot man play basketball? No skill or art would be required -- he'd just walk up to the basket and drop the ball in. Is there something unfair, or uninteresting, about scoring that way? Or should the audience not care, so long as the point is scored, or the song is sung in a moving way? Interesting questions -- and the fact that this "outsider music" motivates them -- is proof, if any be needed, that this indeed is art. Update... Reader Kevin Schnaper writes, I too encountered the "Langley School Music Project" and found it transfixing in a way I didn't expect. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 11:39 AM | link
Tuesday, February 20, 2007 THE SOCIALIST DREAM IS DEAD From the Guardian:Nearly a century after it was founded, Israel's first and most famous kibbutz has voted to give up its early socialist ideals and to privatise itself...Via Cafe Hayek. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:41 PM | link
BUSH'S UNDISCOVERED LEGACY Excellent insight from our friend Dan Clifton at the American Shareholders Association: For all the talk about a do nothing Congress last year, under the radar screen, Congress passed the Pension Protection Act which will significantly increase defined contribution plans and stock ownership... Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 11:47 AM | link
IS BARNEY FRANK AN ANTI-SEMITE? Many readers have asked me to comment on the way Barney Frank (D-MA) put pressure on Fed chief Ben Bernanke in hearings last week to cut interest rates, and thus to (supposedly) create more jobs for this (supposedly) weak economy. There's nothing new about putting political pressure on the Fed. And in some sense Bernanke has invited it, by advocating moving away from the Fed's mandate of full employment and stable prices toward a regime of "inflation targeting." And there's nothing new about politicians like Frank using Fed hearings as an opportunity to spout their partisan talking points. What's new and distasteful is the whiff of anti-Semitism that emerged in Rep. Frank's questioning of Bernanke last week. Fretting that Bernanke -- who is Jewish -- favors controlling inflation over creating jobs, Frank said, "...you say we have the two objectives, stable prices and employment -- but one of those might -- I mean, I appreciate the fact that you have two children and you love them both, but I'm afraid that one of them might get a little bit more for Hanukkah than the other if we're not careful."What was the purpose of that particular metaphor? To draw attention to the fact that Bernanke is Jewish? To suggest that Jews are stingy, or to appeal to the stereo-type of Jews as money-lenders (who are especially harmed by inflation)? Thanks to our financial correspondent "Irrational Exuberance" for the link. Update... A reader points out that Frank is himself Jewish. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:52 AM | link
Monday, February 19, 2007 MYSTERY MEAT IN VENEZUELA The New York Times just can't figure out why the economy of Venezuela is collapsing.Faced with an accelerating inflation rate and shortages of basic foods like beef, chicken and milk, President Hugo Chávez has threatened to jail grocery store owners and nationalize their businesses if they violate the country’s expanding price controls.How can this be, when Leftist dictator Hugo Chavez has done everything right, according to the Times? For now, Venezuela remains far from any nightmarish economic meltdown. The country, which has the largest conventional oil reserves outside the Middle East, is still enjoying a revenue windfall from historically high oil prices, resulting in a surge in consumer spending and lavish government financing for an array of social welfare and infrastructure programs...I don't know... those "unusual cuts of lamb" sound pretty nightmarish to me. Another Rovian Conspiracy has a good deconstruction (thanks to reader Gerald Hanner). And our DC lawyer/lobbyist friend comments, I figured it out -- why Jimmy Carter loves Hugo Chavez. Jimmy envies the man. If only Jimmy could have put people in jail during his energy crises! Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 3:51 PM | link
NOW THIS IS RICH... Paul Krugman lectures Hillary Clinton on how important it is to admit error: Many people are perplexed by the uproar over Senator Hillary Clinton’s refusal to say, as former Senator John Edwards has, that she was wrong to vote for the Iraq war resolution. Why is it so important to admit past error?...When has Krugman ever admitted to any of his many errors, be they accidental or deliberate, without being dragged kicking and screaming by people like me or New York Times "public editors" Dan Okrent or Barney Calame? Here's Okrent on Krugman's willingness to deal with errors in his columns: I learned early on in this job that Prof. Krugman would likely be more willing to contribute to the Frist for President campaign than to acknowledge the possibility of error. When he says he agreed “reluctantly” to one correction, he gives new meaning to the word “reluctantly”; I can’t come up with an adverb sufficient to encompass his general attitude toward substantive criticism. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 3:35 PM | link
JOKE OF THE DAY Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 3:25 PM | link
PUNDIT REVIEW RADIO Here's my interview last night on Pundit Review Radio. It's always a real pleasure to do this show -- hosts Kevin and Gregg always ask such great questions. Now I just have to get them to do something about that website of theirs! Arrayed across the top are images of pundits, ranging from Walter Cronkite at the left to Paul Krugman at the right. It's bad enough having to see these liberal mugs get any more air time -- don't they already have enough? But what really bugs me about it is that it's like one of those evolution diagrams, in which the sea creature moves to the land and evolves into man -- but this one is running in reverse, with the most retrograde species (Krugman) appearing in the place on the diagram reserved for the most evolved! Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 1:42 PM | link
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