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Chronicle of the Conspiracy Tuesday, November 21, 2006 OKRENT GETS A LITTLE SELF-AWARENESS From an interview with the The Blue and White, Columbia University's undergraduate magazine.B&W: You were very assertive against Paul Krugman. Do you ever talk to the guy? Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:31 AM |
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Monday, November 20, 2006 TASTE OF THINGS TO COME? Our friend Dan Clifton at the American Shareholders Association writes,The Nikkei 225 fell 2.3 percent today, is down 3.5 percent since last Tuesday and 6.8 percent since October 23rd. The cause for drop is being attributed to an anticipated government report which will recommend allowing lower tax rates on capital gains and dividends expire. These provisions will not expire until 2008 yet markets are dropping in response to this change. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:35 PM |
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Sunday, November 19, 2006 ADDING CONSULT TO INJURY New York Times "public editor" Byron Calame comes close to admitting that his paper's online coverage of this month's payroll jobs report got it completely wrong in its knee-jerk negativism about any economic development under the Bush administration. But it wasn't bias (it never is, according to Calame). It was failure to "consult" with other reporters on the Times staff.One recent consultation came too late to keep the top of the Nov. 3 online story on government job growth statistics from contradicting the next day’s article in the print paper. Tom Redburn, the deputy business editor, typically confers with Mr. Peters on such stories sometime during the morning, but he was tied up in meetings until nearly noon. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 10:41 PM |
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IT WOULD HAVE LOOKED GOOD NEXT TO ALL THEIR PULITZERS But no... the New York Times staff was edged out by Michael Moore in the annual Dilbert poll for "Weasliest Pundit." Thanks to "Irrational Exuberance" for the link. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 10:29 PM |
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GLAD THEY'RE PUBLISHING A NEWSPAPER... ...and not trying to run a global business. Oh, wait... they are trying to run a global business. Our correspondent "Irrational Exuberance" recalls the New York Times editorial page's heroic prediction for the US dollar on April 2, 2005: The recent rally of the United States dollar notwithstanding, the greenback has nowhere to go but down. ...The dollar is heading down, no matter what.Hmmmm... according to this foreign exchange data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, we're still waiting. First it headed up. Then it headed down. Then it headed up again. The Times looks about even a year and a half later -- at best.
All the funnier considering that fact that the New York Times was obliged to report in a column by David Leonhardt that "legendary" Clinton Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin has personally lost a million bucks betting against the dollar over the same period. Just listen to the cushion given to Rubin's (and the Times's) bad bet by the lede to this story: A couple of years ago, Robert E. Rubin — éminence grise at Citigroup and the Democratic Party’s economic wise man — decided that the United States dollar was headed for a fall.So only people who don't spend time thinking about the American economy got it right? Or is it just Democrats -- and liberal Times reporters -- who got it wrong? This is a column about why Mr. Rubin’s logic made perfect sense — why it still does, in fact — yet why most people who have made similar bets in recent years have taken a bath. Warren E. Buffett cost Berkshire Hathaway almost $1 billion last year shorting the dollar. On the opposite end of the investing spectrum, I put a small amount of my retirement savings last year into a T. Rowe Price mutual fund that is linked more directly to foreign currencies than most foreign-stock funds are. It has delivered a return of negative 7 percent. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 10:17 PM |
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"GRAND BARGAIN" = SHAKEDOWN Here's the generous choice that the incoming Democratic congressional majority is offering the business community: walk into the gas chamber yourself, or we'll shove you in. Representative Barney Frank (D-MA), likely to chair the House Financial Services Committee, calls it a "grand bargain." From the Boston Globe: "I'm a capitalist, and that means I'm for inequality," Frank told Boston business leaders on the morning after Election Day, in a speech about his grand bargain.But there's always a but: "But you reach a point where you get more inequality than is healthy, and I believe we're at that point..."So here's the "bargain" -- business "voluntarily" raises wages and embraces unionization, and the Dems won't clobber corporations with regulations and trade barriers. "What we want to do is to look at public policies that'll get some bigger share of the increased wealth into wages, and in return you'll see Democrats as internationalists. . .. I really urge the business community to join us."My DC lawyer/lobbyist friend writes, So, business is supposed to agree to support a significant increase in its cost of doing business (increased benefits and wages) in exchange for a promise by Democrats that they will support free-trade and a reduction in regulation? I'm sure Barney's colleagues will jump on this grand idea....until it's dead. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:05 PM |
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