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Chronicle of the Conspiracy Friday, September 22, 2006 A FRENCH PROFILE IN COURAGE From the Wall Street Journal's Political Diary email service (no link available):At first it would appear that Nicolas Sarkozy, the front-runner to be the conservative candidate for French president next year, has committed a political blunder by declaring himself a "friend of America" during his trip to Washington last week. He even posed for a grip-and-grin photo with President Bush and extolled the U.S. way of life.Update... Prediction markets guru Chris Masse notes, BetFair gives Sarkozy a 52% probability of being elected French President next year (in May). Small volume: $4,182. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 4:47 PM |
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AS IF ALL THOSE OIL ROYALTIES WEREN'T ENOUGH Now Venezeula's dictator gets Amazon.com royalties, too, for his celebrity book endorsement: The U.N. address by Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez has had an unexpected impact - on the best seller lists of Amazon.com and Barnes & Noble.com.Thanks to reader Jill Olson. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 8:45 AM |
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WE THE LIPPING It's official. From Variety: Angelina Jolie is set to star in the film adaptation of Ayn Rand's iconic tome "Atlas Shrugged" for Lionsgate. Howard and Karen Baldwin ("Ray"), who hold the rights to Rand's most ambitious novel, are producing with Media Talent Group topper Geyer Kosinski, Jolie's manager.Thanks to reader Rick Gaber. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 8:05 AM |
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Wednesday, September 20, 2006 EPSTEIN IS GIVING KRUGMANBLOGGING A BAD NAME Brad Delong sent an email to Econospinning author Gene Epstein, and copied a long list of economics bloggers, with a friendly word of advice about Epstein's attempt to drum up some ink for his book by getting in a fight with Delong over some trivial Paul Krugman error.Give it up, for your own sake. You're just humiliating yourself further...I replied to Delong, Brad, you haven't exactly covered yourself with glory when it comes to Krugman [How could he -- there's not enough glory in the world to cover him!]. But in this case you're right. I have to admit it, and I have said as much on my blog. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:59 PM |
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THE UN REVIEW OF BOOKS, CHAVEZ STYLE Venezuelan strongman Hugo Chavez, speaking today at the United Nations, claims that "The government of the United States doesn't want peace. It wants to exploit its system of exploitation..." The source of this rather redundant insight? Representatives of the governments of the world, good morning to all of you. First of all, I would like to invite you, very respectfully, to those who have not read this book, to read it. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 1:32 PM |
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AL GORE THE SUPPLY SIDER Anything for global warming, I guess -- even if it means admitting that income taxes kill incentives and kill jobs: Former U.S. Vice President Al Gore on Monday suggested taxing carbon dioxide emissions instead of employees' pay in a bid to stem global warming.Thanks to reader Robert Paci for the link. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 1:46 AM |
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WITH INTELLECTUAL ALLIES LIKE THIS... I'm just discovering for the first time that I am mentioned in Gene Epstein's book Econospinning, on page 215: Those who love Krugman for his Bush bashing should not take his word on the economy, any more than those who hate him for it should reject everything he says on that topic. In the latter group, National Review on-line [sic] columnist Donald Luskin unfortunately makes it seem as though distaste for Krugman’s economic reportage must split along party lines (not true in my case, since I voted for Bush’s Democratic challengers both times).I hadn't known of this previously because Epstein's book is so sloppily indexed that neither my name or that of National Review Online appears at all. Nice of Epstein to mention me at all, I suppose, considering the vast body of Krugman criticism I've produced, resulting in numerous substantive corrections in the Times, and preparing the way for his own picayune nit-picking. But I disagree that my criticisms have been partisan -- the facts are the facts, just as they are when Epstein presents them. And he only disqualifies himself by admitting that he voted twice for idiots. If he thinks he has any idea whom I voted for, he's just guessing -- or "mind reading," as Paul Krugman correctly accuses him of doing. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 1:28 AM |
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INVESTORS BUSINESS DAILY NOTES THE PREDICTION MARKETS And quotes yours truly: Late Tuesday, TradeSports' futures contract for GOP House control was trading at 53.8 — a 53.8% chance. TradeSports gives an 80.3% chance that Republicans will hold onto the Senate... Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:09 AM |
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Tuesday, September 19, 2006 ATTENTION ATRIOS! How can you have missed this story -- a cover-up of just how bad the situation in Iraq really is?Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 7:25 PM |
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IS THE BLOGOSPHERE "DIVERSE"? You'd think the answer would be self-evident: yes, perhaps bewilderingly so. But that doesn't stop snobs in the media elite from accusing blogs of lacking diversity, as an infamous Newsweek column did. Simon Owens of the Bloggasm blog conducted an extensive poll of bloggers to see if it is true. Here is what Owens found: The Blogosphere as a whole: These are the results if you add all the niches together:Does this result mean that blogs are any less diverse than, say, Newsweek? That we do not know. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 6:41 PM |
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MILKEN ON THE BABY BOOM -- NOT SO RETIRING The great Mike Milken takes on one of the most enduring myths of contemporary investment strategy: ...it's logical to ask what effect baby-boomer retirements will have on real estate and financial markets. The question is logical, but it puts the emphasis on the wrong side of the equation. The real future value of U.S. assets won't be determined by retirements, but by policy decisions on education, taxation, regulation, immigration, international investment and the environment. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 8:39 AM |
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JEWISH LIBERALISM VERSUS JEWISH LIBERALISM A new paper from the Jerusalem Institute for Market Studies: Jewish Economic Theory and Practice: Why the Distaste for Economic Liberalism?Thanks to Jameson Campaigne for the link. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 8:31 AM |
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Monday, September 18, 2006 IT MUST BE TRUE, BECAUSE ECONOMETRICS SAYS SO The more booze you drink, the more money you make. It's that simple.Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 11:46 AM |
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SHOOTING AT A TARGET THEY DON'T UNDERSTAND Rumor has it that the Fed is moving toward an explicit policy of "inflation targeting." There's just one problem, according to this Bloomberg story: The push for a target also comes as Fed officials seem uncertain about how inflation works and are divided over how quickly to bring it down.Thanks to reader Dave Warren for the link. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:22 AM |
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AND SPEAKING OF THE NEW YORKER In a long portrait of Bill Clinton, David Remnick can't help but find ways to insert Bush-bashing editorializations, effectively writing the history books before history has even occured: Not a few people made the calculation that if Monica Lewinsky hadn’t been on pizza duty during the government shutdown of 1995 (and Clinton not so predisposed to share the snack) there might never have been a Bush Presidency at all, or a hyped case for war in Iraq, a botched occupation, a skyrocketing budget deficit, a morally and bureaucratically bungled reaction to Hurricane Katrina, and a loss of American prestige around the world. His kingdom for a slice!Separately, what is this "not a few people"? Why choose that locution instead of "many people"? Because it makes Remnick's Bush-bashing cliches seem more like insider insight? To justify why he doesn't name one? To put his own views in the imagined minds of others? Because there really aren't lots of such people? Update... reader John Seater suggests, "Maybe because it wasn't 'many' but only one -- himself." Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:11 AM |
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A GLIMMER OF LIBERTARIANISM AT THE NEW YORKER James Suroweicki in The New Yorker, on the crusade against online betting: ...the ban on online betting is hindering the development of new markets that could predict far more important outcomes than that of the N.B.A. finals. In the past few years, a host of prediction markets, as they’re usually called, have appeared online, offering people the chance to speculate on subjects ranging from the box-office performance of Hollywood films to the outcome of Presidential elections and the spread of bird flu. These markets’ forecasts have proved remarkably accurate—just as bettors collectively do an exceptionally good job of predicting sports results. (In 2004, for instance, Tradesports, a Dublin-based prediction market, called thirty-three out of thirty-four races in the Senate correctly, and called all fifty states correctly in the results for the electoral college.) But in the U.S. these markets have to use play money, because using real money would constitute gambling. The online gambling ban prevents these markets from getting bigger and more accurate.Thanks to Chris Masse for the link. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:09 AM |
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