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Chronicle of the Conspiracy Thursday, June 15, 2006 INDEED Our pseudonymous correspondent "Irrational Exuberance" sends in from the field "another argument in favor of a gold standard," this one from Dallas Fed president Richard Fisher:"Skepticism is the chastity of the intellect" may seem a bit quaint in the age of Paris Hilton and Anna Nicole Smith, but I think it is a useful maxim for those assigned the dull and decidedly unsexy task of conducting monetary policy. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 6:24 AM |
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MORE ON MIRON I'm not sure why my posting of libertarian Harvard economist Jeff Miron's suggestions for cutting government spending generated quite so much reader response -- but they did. Maybe it's an example of the "transition trap." When libertarian principles have been abandoned and government is insinuated too much in all our lives, the adjustments involved in getting government out again involve too many small steps, too many compromises. It's so easy for a train to come off the rails, and so hard to get one back on them. Here are more comments: Regarding: "Social Security for the Well-Off:", "Medicare for the
Well-Off:","Higher Education for the Well-Off:" Corey Snow Another problem with means-testing is that it does away with the selling
point that "this is a program to benefit everyone", and the program loses any
support it had from those means-tested out of it. You must have "gone native" if you think their is anything libertarian
associated with Jeff Miron's proposals. Social Security and Medicare are middle
class entitlements and serve folks with incomes from maybe $30,000 to $200,000
(that is middle class in Washington DC). Libertarians would oppose both
programs. Supplemental Security Income and Medicaid serve the truly needy. Of
course, real libertarians are rare and few people believe these programs should
be abandoned. Mend them, not end them is a reasonable policy position. Social
Security is viable into the indefinite future with the across the board benefit
cuts mandated by law and Medicare only needs a little help from the market
(managed care). Miron's ideas made me think the second letter of his last name should be an
"o." Agricultural subsidies need to go. But as your readers pointed out, "means-testing" would be a tough sell. Nevertheless, since I do not believe supply side economics works (at least not in America, where tax rates are already low, you should definetly try applying your philosophy in Europe), means-testing could be a way in which one reduces taxes and also reduces expenses to make up for the lost revenue. Interesting thought. Rod Selem Update... Reader Marnee Dearman nails it: If these letters from readers demonstrate anything it is the failure of the Libertarian argument. The crux should be individual rights yet Libertarians, lacking a clear and integrated philosophical system, tend toward the pragmatic. So really is it any wonder that most of those letters were quibbles on who should get what, yet again? One utilitarian argument is as good as another. The only reason required for cutting government programs is an ethical one based in individual rights, and that, crazy as it may seem, is the hardest sell of all. It must be done, clearly and without equivocation, or nothing will ever change. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 6:18 AM |
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Wednesday, June 14, 2006 AT LEAST IN THIS CASE THEY ARE ADMITTING IT At their heart, all taxes are instruments of government control of people. In some cases it's right out in the open:"Taxation is, by far, the single most effective tool against smoking," said Health Commissioner Thomas Frieden. "It is now more critical than ever that New York State grant New York City the authority to raise the city's tobacco tax." Health officials say that if the city is allowed to add another fifty-cent tax, 10,000 people who would have died of smoking-related illnesses will instead be saved." Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 1:00 PM |
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SIMPLE SOLUTIONS FOR THE SERIOUS If anyone of either party was serious about cutting government spending, libertarian Harvard economist Jeff Miron has a simple checklist of what they would do. But they don't... ... the claim that government expenditure cannot be cut is dead wrong. I offer here a list that Democratic economists should embrace. The numbers after each item are the approximate annual savings in 2006 dollars.Thanks to reader Jameson Campaigne for the link.Agricultural Subsidies: Everyone's favorite whipping boy, and for good reason. These subsidies are a handout to rich farmers, and they raise food prices for everyone. $20 billion.The grand total from this list is $300 billion annually, roughly the deficit projected for 2006. Update... Reader Gordon Haave doesn't think it's this simple. Miron's checklist is problematic: 1. By means-testing Social Security, you would have an admission that it is not in fact a real retirment program and that the money that one contributes to Social Security is not in fact invested in an account for you. It is this myth that keeps social security alive. This is why the Democrats aren't screaming for means testing social security. It might threaten the whole program.Update 2... Reader Gerald Hanner chimes in: The deal made with the American people back there in the 1930s was that you paid into Social Security and you got something back from it when/if you made it to age 65. It was never intended to be a "means-tested" program, i.e., welfare. It was supposed to provide a floor of income in a day when individual and company retirement plans were almost nonexistent. In fact, the first Social Security recipients had paid nothing into the program; they simply had fulfilled the requirement of having lived long enough and having worked the requisite number of quarters.Update 3... reader Dudley Crawford writes, Is the humor intentional in naming Jeff Miron as a libertarian? Means testing sounds egalitarian to me. i.e., lefty. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 6:09 AM |
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Monday, June 12, 2006 YOU'VE GOT TO BE KIDDING Reader Ethan Davis found out just how utterly useless the New York Times "public editor" is when it comes to getting an error corrected on the editorial page. Check out this correspondence:Dear Public Editor,Update... our own public editor Irwin Chusid notes the two typos in the Times' reply, which I've gone back and marked with "[sic]". How's that for irony? Making an error in spelling the word "errors". Update 2... reader Joe Reed has caught the Times red-handed: Michael McElroy claims that "The example you provided does not seem to qualify as an error because the editorial says that 'supporters' of the proposed amendment cannot point to a single issue of flag burning," and he is wrong. The Citizens Flag Alliance, "a broad-based, nonpartisan, nonprofit, national organization, which was formed to persuade Congress to pass a constitutional amendment that would return to the American people the right to protect their flag," has an extensive list from 2005. They're unfortunately not hyperlinked to news articles, but they do list dates and sources.Update 3 [6/13/2006]... Reader Urijah Kaplan adds, Besides being an obvious mischaracterization of the editorial's intent, the fact is that it said "cannot" not "did not"! "Cannot", of course, means that it would be impossible for them to point out an instance, not whether they actually did or not. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 6:08 PM |
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THE DEMS WILL CLEAN THINGS UP WHEN THEY WIN IN NOVEMBER "When I become chairman [of a House appropriations subcommittee], I'm going to earmark the shit out of it." So says Jim Moran (D-VA), quoted in the Arlington Sun Gazette, on what he would do if Democrats take the House of Representatives. Thanks to Taegan Goddard for the link. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 5:20 PM |
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Sunday, June 11, 2006 WHAT'S GOOD FOR GM... General Motors tried to respond to a vicious Tom Friedman column in the New York Times, in which the automaker was accused of supporting terrorists, buying votes in Congress and being a corporate "crack dealer." According to a GM blog, after the Times published several attaboys supporting Freidman, and much back-and-forth with GM, they finally agreed to publish a watered-down version of a response. The fastidious Times wouldn't even allow GM to use the word "rubbish" in describing Friedman's crazy accusations. The letters editor told GM, "It's not the tone we use in Letters." Right. Only in columns. Be sure to review the entire hilarious backstage correspondence between GM and the Times on this.Thanks to reader E. M. Schulze for the link. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 3:50 PM |
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CONTRA THE TIMES Carl Futia is an investment strategist who specializes in contrary opinion -- and loves to bet against the New York Times. In response to today's Times Magazine's cover story on the US's supposed debt crisis, Futia writes, ...certainly the NYT is continuing its downbeat propaganda compaign that tries to convince its readers that the US economy is in trouble. But my theory of the big media is that they are in the business of telling people what they want to hear. So this story is good evidence that, at least among the elite in the USA, there is a lot of negative sentiment about the US economy and its prospects. As far as I am concerned this means that no significant drop in stock prices is likely for the forseeable future. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 3:44 PM |
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A NEW BLOGGER TAKES ON THE TIMES' STATISTICS Our old friend Bob Ferguson has started his own blog... it's a good one -- check it out. Start with this posting: Jeff Sommer's recent article in the New York Times, "Fear of Inflation Prompts Big Losses in Stocks" makes a big deal about the recent one-week decline of 3.2% in the Dow Jones Industrials. But if you think about it, it is not particularly unusual. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 1:16 PM |
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