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Chronicle of the Conspiracy Friday, February 21, 2003 JITTER BUGS My commentary on how war risk is really affecting the stock market is up now on National Review Online.Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 10:27 AM | link
Thursday, February 20, 2003
Earlier this morning Conference Board spokesman Ken Goldstein led the stampede of economists whose job it is to interpret every little wiggle of every little statistic -- or in this case, what he thought was a non-wiggle:
Well, it turned out to be a wiggle after all. A negative one. But undaunted, Goldstein minimally corrected his statement to track the corrected the Index numbers:
According to a Bloomberg story, it was an alert economist who nailed the error.
Hire that guy! It's absolutely unheard of -- an economist who critically looks at the numbers behind the numbers -- and doesn't just accept as revealed truth whatever official-sounding statistics pour forth from official-sounding statistics-gathering institutions. And now that we've got the statistics right, wouldn't it be nice if they meant something in the first place? Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 2:22 PM | link
HUH? Correcting a correction: The New York Times tries again, but I still don't get it: "An article last Thursday about a ruling by Belgium's highest court that after his term as Israel's prime minister, Ariel Sharon could face trial for 1982 war crimes misstated the role of another Israeli, Amos Yaron, who faces the same charges — involving the massacre of Palestinians at two refugee camps in Lebanon. And a correction in this space yesterday referred incorrectly to the status of his case. Mr. Yaron was a military commander but was never chief of staff; the ruling about Mr. Sharon also cleared the way for Mr. Yaron to be tried. He has not already been tried." Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:20 AM | link
Wednesday, February 19, 2003
Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 10:13 AM | link
Tuesday, February 18, 2003 YOU CAN'T MAKE THIS STUFF UP Check out this letter from a reader who's mad as hell at Alan Greenspan and ain't gonna take it anymore!Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 6:17 PM | link
I'VE REPORTED, YOU DECIDE If I can't even figure out what the hell former Enron consultant Paul Krugman thinks he's trying to say in his New York Times column today, do I still have to write about it? Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:00 AM | link
Sunday, February 16, 2003
Yet, oddly, both Krugman and Greenspan eerily resemble pivotal characters -- villains, as it turns out -- from Rand's two most important novels. Rand's major characters are always individuals with great endowments of intellect and energy, just like Krugman and Greenspan. And the plot arcs of her novels are always motivated by the ways these characters fulfill or betray those endowments. The heroes fulfill, the tragic heroes fulfill too late, and the villains betray -- as Krugman and Greenspan have. For me, the resemblance to Rand's characters is more than a literary curiosum. It's a chance to go deeper than my normal analytical mode that focuses on fighting the destructive ideas that people like Krugman and Greenspan espouse -- to try to understand the deep personal motivations that would make these people espouse such destructive ideas in the first place. Archetypal characters may be the key to their characters, as it were.
Toohey, again like Krugman, was born to humble origins, and with a brilliant mind trapped in a body that Rand described as "sickly," "puny" and "substandard." Krugman nostalgizes his middle class upbringing on Long Island. And as to his physiognomy, he has said of himself "...perhaps I am just not imposing enough in person to be inspiring (if I were only a few inches taller ...)." As Newsweek generously and oxymoronically put it, he is "gnomishly handsome" (I guess that must mean: think Gimli, not Grumpy). I don't know about Long Island, but Freud said "Anatomy is destiny." Seemingly unconscious of the self-reference, Krugman poses as the egalitarian defender of what he calls "the little people" -- and Toohey did the same thing. But consider what condescension -- what contempt -- Krugman would have to have for "the little people" to call them that to their faces from the pages of the New York Times, and expect them to thank him for it. As Toohey said in a moment of frankness near the end of The Fountainhead, he really thinks of them as "...the average, the little, the common, you who've liked and accepted those names." What are Toohey and Krugman after? Ultimately Toohey revealed that his deranged ambition was to "rule... You. The world." For Toohey that meant a world that perfectly matches Krugman's perpetually dismal outlook for the global economy, and reflects Krugman's obsession with economic equality even at the expense of prosperity. As Toohey put it, "I want my world of the future... Let all stagnate. There's equality in stagnation." In that world of the future, power would be concentrated in "...the hands of a few, a very few other men like me."
What do you think he was talking about in a column last November when he dictated what the wealthy must do in hopes of "justifying their existence"? What do you think it suggests about a man that he takes unto himself the right to determine what others must to do justify their existence? And who pulls the cord on the guillotine if they fail to justify their existence? A "very few other men like me"...? "Men with Ph.D.'s in economics"?
Greenspan has tried to deny his culpability for the boom-gone-bust in a series of speeches -- just as near the end of Atlas Shrugged Stadler tried to justify himself to Galt. Here's Stadler blaming it all on his contemptuous assessment of ordinary men: "They don't think. They're mindless animals moved by irrational feelings -- by their greedy, grasping, blind unaccountable feelings..." Sounds pretty much like Greenspan talking about ordinary investors and their "irrational exuberance" or ordinary CEOs and their "infectious greed" -- his prime rationales-cum-scapegoats for an economy ruined by six years of his catastrophic monetary policy errors. In Rand's world, the heroes invest their intellectual endowments in constructive and creative work. The villains waste their endowments in the pursuit of power -- they seek not to create, but to control the creators. Applied to the real world, it matters not whether the power-hungry villain comes from the left like Krugman or the right like Greenspan. Villains are villains, even when one tries to catch the other in a contradiction. As another character from Atlas Shrugged said, "...contradictions cannot exist. ...check your premises. You will find that one of them is wrong." Or in this case, both. Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 12:06 AM | link
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